With a humdinger in Andhra Pradesh (which votes for its meeting too) and Telangana, it’s a wrap within the south for LS elections immediately. This section additionally sees Odisha kick off its 4-leg meeting polls. In Bengal, in the meantime, be careful for crackling INDIA vs INDIA fights.
NDA
To defend: 49 seats, together with all 13 in Uttar Pradesh, 9 out of 11 in Maharashtra, all 8 in Madhya Pradesh, all 5 in Bihar, 4 out of 17 in Telangana, 3 out of 4 in Jharkhand, 3 out of 8 in West Bengal, 3 out of 25 in Andhra Pradesh and 1 out of 4 in Odisha.
Can search for beneficial properties in: Andhra, the place TDP-BJP-JSP alliance would hope to do significantly higher than the three seats TDP received final time, and Telangana, the place the decline of BRS creates house for BJP to change into the primary opposition.
INDIA
To defend: 11 seats, together with 5 out of 8 in West Bengal, 3 out of 17 in Telangana, 1 out of 4 in Jharkhand, 1 out of 4 in Odisha and 1 out of 11 in Maharashtra.
Can search for beneficial properties in: Maharashtra, the place the shifting alliances have created a brand new political dynamic; Telangana, the place Congress received meeting polls simply months again; and Bihar the place it has nothing to lose and all the things to realize.

Capture11

Past NDA & INDIA: This section has a significant presence of events not aligned to different fronts. Unaligned events received 35 of those seats final time. That features the 22 seats received by YSRCP in Andhra Pradesh, 9 received by BRS in Telangana, 2 received by BJD in Odisha and a pair of by AIMIM, one every in Telangana and Maharashtra.

Capture45

Not included on this break-up: The lone seat in Jammu & Kashmir polling immediately, which isn’t potential to classify as having been received by any social gathering final time since seat boundaries have been redrawn since 2019.
Excessive-stakes battles to observe immediately
Telangana: All eyes shall be on BJP and whether or not it betters its 2019 tally of 4 seats. The social gathering has run a marketing campaign led by the PM and sees Telangana as a potential second base within the south after Karnataka. The collapse of BRS has left a void, which BJP is eager to fill. Buoyed by its meeting polls win, Congress has run an lively marketing campaign led by CM Revanth Reddy, who has tried to blunt the Modi issue by saying BJP intends to vary the Structure and take away SC/ST/OBC quota. Revanth additionally wants a good-looking return from the state’s 17 seats to cement his personal place.
Andhra Pradesh: It’s one state, two polls right here immediately, with larger political give attention to the meeting vote, as a detailed contest brews between Jagan Mohan Reddy’s YSRCP and Chandrababu Naidu’s TDP, which is in alliance with BJP and Telugu film star Pawan Kalyan’s Jana Sena. The state has 25 LS seats and 175 meeting seats. In 2019, YSRCP demolished TDP, which was fighting by itself, successful 151 meeting and 22 LS seats. This time, the alliance might be a deciding think about many seats, particularly if the Kapu neighborhood, to which Kalyan belongs, backs it.
… & UP, Maha & West Bengal: For 3 of India’s most politically significant states, it is a section that may play a deciding function by which approach the pendulum swings come June 4. Every has its share of status fights for tall regional gamers who’re INDIA bloc allies – Akhilesh Yadav in Samajwadi bastions in UP, Sharad Pawar in Marathwada, and Mamata Banerjee in her Bengal strongholds.
A take a look at union ministers & different heavyweights within the fray
Kannauj
2019 winner: BJP (Subrat Pathak)
Key contenders: Akhilesh Yadav (SP), Subrat Pathak (BJP), Imran bin Jafar (BSP)
This can be a battle as private as it’s political for Akhilesh Yadav, in a constituency that was a household stronghold for 20 years until BJP wrested it in 2019. Kannauj is the place Akhilesh first stepped into the electoral area in 2000, successful a bypoll after it was vacated by his father Mulayam Singh Yadav, who had received the 1999 LS ballot from two locations and retained Mainpuri. Akhilesh went on to win two extra phrases from right here earlier than vacating it for his spouse Dimple in 2012 when he turned CM. This time, nephew Tej Pratap was initially fielded from right here, however the Samajwadi Get together boss determined to return to the place he has deep bonds with to tame the feisty Subrat Pathak, a Brahmin, who defeated Dimple in 2019 and has likened the present contest to an “India-Pakistan cricket match”.
Behrampore
2019 winner: Cong (Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury)
Key contenders: Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury (Cong), Yusuf Pathan (TMC), Nirmal Kumar Saha (BJP)
In a seat he has became a synonym, successful it five occasions, Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury maybe faces his hardest problem. The opponent he have to be fearful about will not be a seasoned politician, however debutant Yusuf Pathan, the cricketer identified for hitting towering sixes. In a constituency with 51% Muslim voters, Pathan is the first heavyweight rival Chowdhury is going through who’s Muslim. There’s a contact of irony as effectively as a result of TMC, which is plotting to take him down, is an INDIA bloc associate nationally. Native physician Nirmal Kumar Saha, for whom Yogi Adityanath has campaigned, will, in the meantime, hope to benefit from a potential cut up within the Muslim vote.
Begusarai
2019 winner: BJP (Giriraj Singh)
Key contenders: Giriraj Singh (BJP) and Awadhesh Kumar Rai (CPI)
A former Congress bastion that NDA has transformed right into a stronghold since JDU’s win in 2004, Union minister Giriraj Singh is aiming for a second straight time period from right here. The outspoken Singh defeated CPI’s Kanhaiya Kumar in 2019 in a contest that was adopted nationally due to the fiery exchanges between the 2. This time, the competition isn’t a triangular one like final time and Giriraj, a Bhumihar, faces one principal opponent in Grand Alliance candidate and three-time MLA Awadhesh Kumar Rai (CPI), which adjustments equations. The seat, situated in central Bihar and well-known as birthplace of poet Ramdhari Singh Dinkar, has a significant Bhumihar vote.
Kadapa
2019 winner: YSRCP (YS Avinash Reddy)
Key contenders: YS Avinash Reddy (YSRCP), YS Sharmila Reddy (Cong), Chadipiralla Bhupesh Subbarami Reddy (TDP)
Andhra Pradesh Congress chief YS Sharmila takes on her cousin YS Avinash Reddy, the faceoff escalating the feud within the YSR household. Sharmila merged her YSR Telangana social gathering into Congress and was subsequently appointed Andhra Congress chief. In current months, she has been vocal in opposition to CM YS Jagan Mohan Reddy, who’s her elder brother. With Sharmila as its face, Congress is trying to upstage YSRCP right here, the items now very in a different way organized from the 2019 contest when Sharmila had prolonged her full assist to YSRCP. Chandrababu Naidu’s TDP has a standard vote financial institution within the constituency, making it an absorbing triangular fight.
Krishnanagar
2019 winner: TMC (Mahua Moitra)
Key contenders: Mahua Moitra (TMC), Amrita Roy (BJP), SM Saadi (CPM)
The feud between BJP and TMC within the ‘cash-for-query’ row over which Mahua Moitra was expelled from Parliament within the backdrop, it is a fiery match between the 2 events with CPM (INDIA bloc) within the third nook. BJP has fielded ‘Ranima’ Amrita Roy, a descendant of Maharaja Krishnachandra Roy, after whom Krishnanagar is called. Mahua’s expulsion has given TMC a rallying level whereas the Roy household, identified to everybody right here, is out on the streets canvassing for ‘Ranima’. TMC has gone again to historical past to focus on the household, turning Krishnachandra ‘conniving with Robert Clive’ within the Battle of Plassey into marketing campaign discourse. Krishnanagar has a powerful BJP base however TMC holds six of the seven meeting segments.
Hyderabad
2019 winner: AIMIM (Asaduddin Owaisi)
Key contenders:Asaduddin Owaisi (AIMIM), Okay Madhavi Latha (BJP)
An AIMIM fortress, the Asaduddin Owaisi-led social gathering has not misplaced this seat for 40 years. Although Congress and BRS have been fielding candidates from right here, Hyderabad had largely been a pleasant fight with events in office taking direct or oblique assist of AIMIM to get Muslim votes in different constituencies of the state. Like in current elections, the primary contest is between Owaisi and BJP. Main the saffron problem is debutant Kompella Madhavi Latha. Whereas BJP has talked up her probabilities, AIMIM has set a goal of bettering Owaisi’s 2019 victory margin of two.8 lakh votes.
Khunti
2019 winner: BJP (Arjun Munda)
Key contenders: Arjun Munda (BJP) and Kalicharan Munda (Cong)
Arjun Munda scraped by way of final time by a margin of 1,445 votes. This time, the competition is more durable on this Jharkhand constituency the place the 2017-18 Pathalgarhi motion, asserting tribal governance and implementation of the fifth schedule of the Structure, originated. Khunti can be birthplace of freedom fighter Birsa Munda. Arjun Munda, the Union agriculture and tribal affairs minister, is as soon as once more taking up Kalicharan Munda of Congress, however the entry of Pathalgarhi motion protagonist Babita Kachchap on a Bharat Adivasi Get together ticket has led to a recast of the ballot arithmetic.
Secunderabad
2019 winner: BJP (G Kishan Reddy)
Key contenders: G Kishan Reddy (BJP), Danam Nagender (Cong), T Padma Rao Goud (BRS)
Seen as BJP’s solely stronghold in Telangana, Secunderabad will see a direct contest between incumbent MP, Union tourism minister and state BJP chief G Kishan Reddy and native Congress MLA Danam Nagender. T Padama Rao Goud, the soft-spoken former deputy speaker, is the BRS candidate. BJP, which additionally received this seat in 2014, is anticipating a hat-trick, banking on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s enchantment. However Nagender is a seasoned campaigner and Congress is upbeat about its probabilities.
Large bouts of Section 4
Rajahmundry
2019 WINNER: YSRCP (Margani Bharath)
KEY CONTENDERS: Daggubati Purandeswari (BJP), Guduri Srinivas (YSRCP), Gidugu Rudra Raju (Cong)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 061710

Andhra Pradesh BJP chief and former Visakhapatnam MP Daggubati Purandeswari has entered the Lok Sabha election fray from Rajahmundry — a constituency BJP has received twice and sees itself regaining. Incumbent Margani Bharath has been nominated by YSRCP for meeting polls, prompting the social gathering to select Dr Guduri Srinivas, a famous pulmonologist, as its LS candidate. It has all the trimmings of a detailed contest with the trio of heavyweights battling it out. BJP is eyeing a lift from Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s rally within the constituency, which has lifted its cadre. A coastal space with city and rural segments, growth is a matter that reverberates right here.
Ongole
2019 WINNER: YSRCP (Magunta Sreenivasulu Reddy)
KEY CONTENDERS: Magunta Sreenivasulu Reddy (TDP), Chevireddy Bhaskar Reddy (YSRCP)
Sitting MP Magunta Sreenivasulu Reddy, who received the 2019 election on a YSRCP ticket, switched to TDP and was declared the social gathering’s candidate. A four-time MP from Ongole, 70-year-old Reddy brings 5 a long time of political expertise to the desk. YSRCP has nominated Chandragiri MLA Chevireddy Bhaskar Reddy, thought-about a troubleshooter by the social gathering. MS Reddy, and Ongole by flip, have generated appreciable curiosity, provided that his son Raghav is an accused-turned-approver within the Delhi liquor coverage case by which Arvind Kejriwal was arrested by ED.
Kheri
2019 WINNER: BJP (Ajay Kumar Mishra Teni)
KEY CONTENDERS: Ajay Kumar Mishra Teni (BJP), Utkarsh Verma (SP), Anshay Kalra (BSP)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062023

The constituency within the Terai belt is thought for its wheat and cane growers. On Oct 3, 2021, 4 protesting farmers and a journalist had been run over by an SUV pushed by MP Ajay Mishra Teni’s son Ashish, and three individuals accompanying Ashish had been lynched. Teni, then junior house minister, wasn’t dropped from govt, with assist for him seemingly unwavering. He’s now hopeful of a hat-trick. SP, which misplaced its influential Kurmi household of Vermas (Ravi Prakash Verma) to Congress, has fielded one other Kurmi, in two-time MLA Utkarsh Verma. The constituency has 18% Kurmis and 16% Brahmins. BSP has fielded realtor Anshay Kalra, a Punjabi.
Asansol
2019 WINNER: BJP (After Babul Supriyo’s defection, TMC’s Shatrughan Sinha received in 2022 bypoll)
KEY CONTENDERS: Shatrughan Sinha (TMC), SS Ahluwalia (BJP), Jahanara Khan (CPM)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062103

With Shatrughan Sinha, TMC debuted in Asansol within the 2022 bypolls and received by a 3-lakh margin. It additionally received 5 of seven meeting segments right here in 2021. BJP floundered with its preliminary candidate choose in Bhojpuri singer Pawan Singh, who was panned for misogynist songs. The social gathering changed him with veteran SS Ahluwalia. Asansol is Ahluwalia’s house, however the two polls he received had been in Darjeeling (2014) and Bardhaman-Durgapur (2019). The area is demographically various and shares most of its borders with Dhanbad.
Munger
2019 WINNER: JDU (Rajiv Ranjan alias Lalan Singh)
KEY CONTENDERS: Rajiv Ranjan alias Lalan Singh (JDU) and Anita Devi (RJD)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062200

Two political titans — RJD president Lalu Prasad and JDU chief and CM Nitish Kumar — are not directly locked in battle right here. JDU’s Rajiv Ranjan alias Lalan Singh is taken into account near Nitish and RJD’s choose was determined after Lalu’s intervention. This seat was as soon as a Congress stronghold, however it has not elected an MP from the social gathering for 3 a long time. Lalan Singh finds the going robust after RJD gave a ticket to the spouse of Nawada jailbreak convict Ashok Mahto. The don acquired married simply forward of the polls to get a ticket, as suggested by Lalu. Lalan has confronted primarily ladies rivals right here. In 2014, he was defeated by LJP’s Veena Devi, spouse of one other don Suryabhan Singh, and in 2019, he defeated Nilam Devi, spouse of don Anant Singh. One other don’s spouse Anita
Devi is within the fray this time.
Samastipur
2019 WINNER: LJP (Prince Raj)
KEY CONTENDERS: Shambhavi Choudhary (LJP-RV) and Sunny Hazari (Cong)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062237

Situated in north Bihar, Samastipur is the birthplace of socialist icon and former CM Karpoori Thakur, who was posthumously awarded the nation’s highest civilian honour, Bharat Ratna, earlier this 12 months by the Modi govt. Youngsters of two heavyweight JDU ministers are locked in a straight battle from totally different events. LJP (Ram Vilas), led by Chirag Paswan, has fielded LSR and Delhi Faculty of Economics graduate Shambhavi Choudhary, daughter of rural works division minister Ashok Choudhary. Congress has given a ticket to Sunny Hazari, son of knowledge and PR minister Maheshwar Hazari. Each are contesting Lok Sabha polls for the primary time. Unfold over six meeting segments—4 from Samastipur and two from Darbhanga district, this constituency has not elected a Congress candidate since 1977, when Thakur received. Within the final LS ballot, LJP candidate Prince Raj defeated Congress’s Ashok Kumar by a couple of lakh votes, however the contest this time could also be tougher.
Ahmednagar
2019 Winner: BJP (Sujay Vikhe Patil)
Key contenders: Sujay Vikhe Patil (BJP), Nilesh Lanke NCP (SCP)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062319

This central Maharashtra seat has been a battleground between the Vikhe Patil household and Sharad Pawar. The cut up in NCP has sharpened the competition. Sujay, a thirdgeneration Vikhe Patil, is making a bid to retain the seat. Sharad Pawar has picked his nephew’s supporter and a well-liked MLA, who’s an area, as his candidate. Lanke was with Ajit Pawar and eager on a ticket however was upset when the seat was once more given to BJP, which is an ally of Ajit-led NCP. An in depth contest is anticipated with Sharad Pawar and his grand-nephew Rohit Pawar throwing their weight behind Lanke.
Chevella
2019 Winner: BRS (G Ranjith Reddy)
Key contenders: G Ranjith Reddy (Cong), Konda Vishveshwar Reddy (BJP)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062416

Two of the richest politicians are pitted in opposition to one another from right here. Konda Vishveshwar Reddy of BJP had received this seat in 2014 on a BRS ticket. He later joined Congress and misplaced the seat to Ranjith Reddy of BRS. Now, incumbent MP Ranjith is contesting on a Congress ticket. The constituency subsumes elements of the IT hall of the town, some upmarket localities of Larger Hyderabad and the outskirts. KV Reddy, who declared property price Rs 4,568 crore, is banking on PM Modi’s charisma. Ranjith Reddy, who declared Rs 435 crore of property, is assured of successful the seat as a result of what he says is “good efficiency” of the brand new Congress govt inside 100 days of coming to workplace within the state. Kasani Gnaneshwar Mudiraj of BRS, who declared property price Rs 228 crore, will make it a three-horse race.
Karimnagar
2019 Winner: BJP (Bandi Sanjay Kumar)
Key contenders: Bandi Sanjay Kumar (BJP), Velichala Rajender Rao (Cong), B Vinod Kumar (BRS)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062456

BJP’s nationwide normal secretary Bandi Sanjay is going through BRS candidate and former MP B Vinod Kumar, and Congress’s Velichala Rajender Rao right here. Vinod Kumar served as Telangana planning board vice-chairman and was actively concerned within the statehood agitation. He’s identified to be near BRS chief Okay Chandrashekar Rao. He received this seat in 2014, when Telangana was fashioned, however misplaced the subsequent election to Bandi Sanjay. This time, Congress was unable to pick a candidate until the final minute, and picked Velichala Rajender, a district functionary, simply forward of the deadline. Karimnagar is Telangana’s cultural hub and was a hotbed of the statehood motion.
Unnao
2019 Winner: BJP (Sakshi Maharaj)
Key contenders: Sakshi Maharaj (BJP), Annu Tandon (Cong), Ashok Kumar Pandey (BSP)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062537

Mercurial Sakshi Maharaj is eyeing a hat-trick from this constituency sandwiched between Lucknow and Kanpur. Like former CM Kalyan, Sakshi too is a Lodh, an influential OBC sub-caste in central UP. Assured of victory, he has been belting out his slogan, “Dhailakh Lodhi, baaki saare Modi (there are 2.5 lakh Lodhs, relaxation all are Modi supporters)”. However INDIA bloc’s Annu Tandon has put up a problem. A former company hand, she made a powerful debut from the seat as a Congress candidate in 2009, defeating SP strongman Aruna Shankar Anna by over three lakh votes. However she completed fourth in 2014 and third in 2019.
Etawah
2019 Winner: BJP (Ram Shankar Katheria)
Key contenders: Ram Shankar Katheria (BJP), Jitendra Dohare (SP), Sarika Singh Baghel (BSP)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062620

The ‘karmabhoomi’ of SP founder Mulayam Singh Yadav, the constituency was reserved for SCs in 2009. BJP has received two out of three elections after that and is eyeing one other win by way of its distinguished Dalit face Ram Shankar Katheria. From Etawah, Katheria, who has his roots in RSS and is a professor at Agra College, is eyeing his fourth time period as an MP. He received from Etawah in 2019, and Agra in 2014 and 2009. SP has fielded Jitendra Dohare and BSP is banking on former MP Sarika Singh Baghel to make it a powerful contest. Baghel had received from Hathras on an RLD ticket in 2009 to change into one of many youngest MPs that 12 months. She later moved to SP after which to BJP. She joined BSP lately. Dohare, a Jatav like Katheria and Baghel, began his political profession from BSP in 2005 and joined SP in 2020. Dalits, Yadavs and Lodhs make up the most important chunks of the native inhabitants.
Bardhaman-Durgapur
2019 Winner: BJP (SS Ahluwalia)
Key contenders: Kirti Azad (TMC), Dilip Ghosh (BJP), Sukriti Ghosh (CPM)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062702

If Trinamool pitchforked Kirti Azad as its social gathering candidate right here, BJP packed a much bigger shock by asking Dilip Ghosh, its former state president, to vacate Midnapore Lok Sabha seat and battle from Bardhaman-Durgapur. Sitting BJP MP SS Ahluwalia was requested to contest in Asansol. Since 2009, (when this seat was carved out), no social gathering has received from right here twice in a row. However Ghosh doesn’t imagine in priority, neither does Azad, as they slog within the rice bowl to rewrite their political careers. On the face of it, TMC is effectively entrenched right here; it received six of the seven meeting seats. However Ghosh, who had made his debut in 2016 by defeating six-time Congress MLA Gyan Singh Sohanpal in Kharagpur, is thought to tug off upsets.
Singhbhum
2019 Winner: Cong (Geeta Koda)
Key contenders: Geeta Koda (BJP) and Joba Majhi (JMM)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062755

Consisting of six STreserved meeting segments, Singhbhum LS seat has swung between Congress and BJP. This time, it’s a BJP-JMM battle as INDIA bloc has fielded Joba Majhi in opposition to Congress turncoat Geeta Koda. The constituency contains Asia’s largest saal forest the place iron-ore mining and ecological harm have been key considerations. Mines in Saranda kind the spine of SAIL and Tata Metal however this area struggles with abject poverty. Geeta Koda’s husband Madhu Koda has labored with the native inhabitants and is assured of changing assist for him into votes for his spouse. Campaigning was troublesome right here as Maoists made the area one in all their bases.
Beed
2019 Winner: BJP (Pritam Munde)
KEY CONTENDERS: Pankaja Munde (BJP), Bajrang Sonawane (NCP-SCP)

Screenshot 2024-05-13 062835

It’s a comeback alternative for Pankaja Munde, who misplaced the 2019 meeting election to her cousin Dhananjay Munde and has felt sidelined in BJP. Pankaja’s sister Pritam was elected to Parliament by the highest-ever margin of practically seven lakh votes within the 2014 bypoll after her father Gopinath Munde’s dying. She was reelected in 2019. This election, with Pritam sittting out, Pankaja will face the opponent her sister defeated within the final election. Sonawane, who switched from Ajit Pawar’s camp to Sharad Pawar’s group, has appreciable groundwork to his credit score.



LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here