It is not fairly a Mission Achieved second – the equal of that day in 2003 when George W Bush stood on an plane service and prematurely declared the Iraq conflict was over.

However Jeremy Hunt’s declaration in our interview in Washington DC that he had achieved a “gentle touchdown” within the economic system actually has a whiff of wishful serious about it.

Economists spend a lot of their time dreaming that, following a disaster, or a set of crises, they are going to be capable of engineer a gradual glidepath, guaranteeing there isn’t any painful financial disaster. But it hardly ever really occurs.

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Within the UK’s case, most economists would hesitate earlier than describing Britain’s scenario as a “gentle touchdown”.

The economic system is, in any case, nonetheless formally in recession. At greatest, gross home product is flatlining.

Think about inhabitants progress, and it is shrinking quarter after quarter.

But the chancellor was at pains to insist as we speak that, actually, the outlook is strikingly constructive.

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‘Economic system has turned a nook’

In fact, that confidence comes as he gears up for an election by which the economic system is prone to be centre stage.

The polling suggests the Conservatives are heading for a decisive loss, and the absence of an financial “really feel good issue” is not serving to.

So one can perceive why he desires to color the image of a robust economic system.

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But peer on the information and it is arduous to share his confidence.

With rates of interest nonetheless at 5.25% and inflation nonetheless above goal, the squeeze households have been going through in recent times has barely abated.

The UK is predicted to develop at a slower price than almost each different G7 economic system this yr, in response to the newest Worldwide Financial Fund forecasts.

But the chancellor just isn’t alone in clinging to optimism.

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Right here in Washington, most central bankers and finance ministers are quietly hoping that every one the financial and army challenges going through them – from conflict in Ukraine and the Center East to China’s tensions with America – don’t crystallise into one thing extra horrifying and all-encompassing.

They, like Jeremy Hunt, would a lot somewhat carry on speaking about gentle landings.

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