Nationwide rail strikes by prepare drivers will enter their twenty second month with a sequence of rolling walk-outs subsequent month.

Members of the Aslef union plan to halt 1000’s of trains on 5, 6 and eight April. The purpose is to disrupt companies on the 14 rail companies in England which can be managed by the UK authorities and represented by the Rail Supply Group (RDG).

As well as, 5 days of additional time bans will trigger additional cancellations.

Mick Whelan, common secretary of the prepare drivers’ union, Aslef, throughout a earlier strike

(PA)

The earlier nationwide industrial motion by prepare drivers, comprising an additional time ban and “rolling” regional walk-outs, hit for 9 days from 29 January to six February.

The purpose of those rolling strikes and the ban on rest-day working is to trigger most disruption for minimal lack of pay.

Industrial motion by Aslef in a dispute over pay and dealing preparations started in July 2022. The union is demanding a no-strings pay award, however rail companies – directed by ministers – say any improve is contingent on radical reforms to working practices to be able to cut back public subsidies.

Throughout the dispute, a whole lot of hundreds of thousands of journeys have been cancelled. Billions of kilos have been misplaced to the UK financial system – notably hospitality companies – and taxpayers are pumping money into an more and more decrepit and unreliable railway to the tune of £90 per second on prime of the conventional subsidy.

The quarrel has grow to be more and more bitter, with no signal of any progress in direction of a settlement.

The newest walk-outs shall be along with two days of strikes by Aslef members who drive trains for the London Underground.

One purpose of the following industrial motion is to carry the capital to a near-standstill on Monday 8 April when the overwhelming majority of Tube and commuter trains shall be cancelled.

Caught in the course of a seemingly intractable dispute: the passenger. In a snap social media ballot for The Unbiased, with 2,142 responses, one in three passengers say they are going to completely journey much less after the commercial motion lastly ends.

These are the important thing questions and solutions.

Which rail companies are concerned?

Aslef is in dispute with the 14 prepare operators which can be contracted by the UK authorities to supply rail companies. They’re:

Intercity operators:

Avanti West Coast

CrossCountry

East Midlands Railway

Nice Western Railway (GWR)

LNER

TransPennine Specific

Southeast England commuter operators:

C2C

Better Anglia

GTR (Gatwick Specific, Nice Northern, Southern, Thameslink)

Southeastern

South Western Railway (together with the Island Line on the Isle of Wight)

Operators specializing in the Midlands and north of England:

Chiltern Railways

Northern Trains

West Midlands Railway (together with London Northwestern Railway)

Which rail companies will not be concerned?

ScotRail, Transport for Wales, Transport for London (together with the Elizabeth line), Merseyrail and “open-access” operators comparable to Grand Central, Hull Trains and Lumo. However lots of their companies shall be crowded on days of business motion, particularly the place they duplicate journeys of strike-hit firms – comparable to Lumo from Edinburgh through Newcastle to London.

When are the prepare drivers strolling out?

Drivers belonging to the Aslef union will strike within the following sample:

Friday 5 April

Avanti West Coast, East Midlands Railway, West Midlands Trains and CrossCountry. The purpose is to trigger most disruption on key intercity traces in addition to Midland commuter companies.

Saturday 6 April

Chiltern, GWR, LNER, Northern and TransPennine Trains. This strike is designed to hit rail passengers within the north and west of England, in addition to the day’s soccer programme. Within the Premier League, it can hit Newcastle followers travelling to Fulham in London.

Monday 8 April

C2C, Better Anglia, Nice Northern, Thameslink, Southeastern, Southern, Gatwick Specific, South Western Railway. It will hit London notably laborious, with nearly all Tube companies delivered to a halt by the London Underground walkout by Aslef members.

What’s the prediction for the results at every operator?

These are the probably service patterns primarily based on earlier expertise.

Friday 5 April

The 4 prepare operators – Avanti West Coast, East Midlands Railway, West Midlands Trains and CrossCountry – are prone to cancel all companies.

Saturday 6 April

Chiltern, Northern and TransPennine Trains are prone to cancel all companies.

GWR and LNER will run a skeleton service on their core traces between round 7am and 7pm.

GWR will run hourly trains between London and Bristol Temple Meads, in addition to a hyperlink from Bristol to Cardiff and a few department routes.

LNER will run on its essential Edinburgh-Newcastle-York-London line a minimum of as soon as an hour, with some extra trains on the southern a part of the community.

Monday 8 April

C2C, Gatwick Specific, Nice Northern, Thameslink and Southeastern are prone to cancel all companies.

Better Anglia will run to and from London Liverpool Road to Stansted airport, Southend, Colchester, Ipswich and Norwich.

Southern will run a shuttle service between London Victoria and Gatwick airport.

South Western Railway will run between London Waterloo, Woking and Guildford, with another suburban companies probably.

What in regards to the additional time ban?

Members can even refuse to work their relaxation days from Thursday 4 to Saturday 6 April and from Monday 8 to Tuesday 9 April. As many rail companies rely on drivers working additional time, a whole lot – probably 1000’s – of trains shall be cancelled.

What’s at stake?

The prepare drivers demand a pay rise to mirror excessive ranges of inflation since they final received a pay award; Aslef says some members haven’t had a rise for 5 years.

However the authorities insists that even a modest pay improve is contingent on radical adjustments to long-standing working preparations to be able to cut back prices – and the massive subsidies the railway is presently receiving from the taxpayer.

Because the pandemic, journey patterns have modified. Ticket income is about one-fifth down on pre-Covid ranges. As taxpayers will foot the eventual invoice for the prepare drivers’ pay rise, the Treasury in addition to the Division for Transport will log off any deal.

Ministers consider prepare drivers’ phrases and situations are a part of the issue. To maintain prices down, they need to settle for adjustments to how they work, comparable to making Sunday a part of the working week in all places.

On 27 April 2023 the Rail Supply Group provided a pay improve of 4 plus 4 per cent over two years masking the 2022 and 2023 pay awards – topic to a bunch of adjustments on phrases and situations, masking a variety of points together with driver coaching, Sunday working, sick pay and new expertise.

The union say that is fully unacceptable. The prepare drivers will negotiate on adjustments, however solely after they get an honest no-strings pay provide on prime of their present pay.

They consider the cash shall be discovered to fulfill their calls for, because it at all times has been previously. Aslef has additionally at all times “bought” reforms to working preparations for an additional few per cent on their pay and does intend to alter that course of.

In the meantime, the corrosion in confidence amongst travellers continues, with no rail passenger capable of plan journeys greater than two weeks forward – that being the minimal discover the union should give for industrial motion.

What does the union say?

The final secretary of Aslef, Mick Whelan, mentioned: “Our members voted overwhelmingly – but once more – for strike motion. These votes present – but once more – a transparent rejection by prepare drivers of the ridiculous provide put to us in April final 12 months by the Rail Supply Group which knew that supply can be rejected as a result of a land seize for all of the phrases and situations we’ve negotiated through the years would by no means be accepted by our members.

“Since then prepare drivers have voted, again and again, to take motion in pursuit of a pay rise. That’s why Mark Harper, the transport secretary, is being disingenuous when he says that supply ought to have been put to members. Drivers wouldn’t vote for industrial motion, repeatedly and once more, in the event that they thought that was a great provide. They don’t. That supply was lifeless within the water in April final 12 months – and Mr Harper is aware of that.

“We requested Mr Harper, or his deputy, the rail minister Huw Merriman, to come back and meet us. We requested the RDG and the TOCs to come back and discuss to us. We mentioned, ‘Let’s sit across the desk and negotiate.’ Since you say you don’t need any extra industrial motion, and we don’t wish to disrupt the rail community. However the Tories and the TOCs [train operating companies] have given us no alternative.

“We’ve given the federal government each alternative to come back to the desk however it’s now clear they don’t wish to resolve this dispute. They’re blissful for it go on and on. As a result of we aren’t going to surrender.

“Many members have no longer had a single penny improve in pay for half a decade.”

What do the employers and authorities say?

Earlier this 12 months, rail minister Huw Merriman advised The Unbiased: “We consider a good and affordable provide is there on the desk for Aslef in the event that they put it to their members. These are prepare drivers which can be paid a median £60,000 for a 35-hour, four-day week. The pay deal would take them as much as £65,000.”

A spokesperson for Rail Supply Group, representing the prepare operators, mentioned: “No person wins when industrial motion impacts individuals’s lives and livelihoods, and we are going to work laborious to minimise any disruption to our passengers.

“We wish to resolve this dispute, however the Aslef management have to recognise that hard-pressed taxpayers are persevering with to contribute an additional £54 million every week simply to maintain companies operating post-Covid.

“We proceed to hunt an settlement with the Aslef management and stay open to talks to discover a resolution to this dispute.”

What does the Labour Occasion say?

Louise Haigh, Labour’s shadow transport secretary, mentioned: “It’s a staggering dereliction of obligation that the transport secretary hasn’t bought across the desk with the unions to attempt to resolve it for the reason that Christmas earlier than final.

“Labour will take an unashamedly totally different method to the Tories, and can work with each side to succeed in a deal within the pursuits of passengers and employees. If the transport secretary took this smart method then maybe we wouldn’t nonetheless be having strikes on our railways.”

How a lot has all of the disruption value?

In line with the RDG, industrial motion from June 2022 up till mid-January 2024 value the rail sector round £775m in misplaced income. That doesn’t embrace the affect of the newest strikes and additional time bans, which in all probability add an additional £100m to the losses.

UKHospitality estimates the misplaced enterprise for locations to eat, drink and keep quantities to nearly £5 billion. Kate Nicholls, the organisation’s chief govt, says: “Ongoing strike motion hurts companies, prevents individuals from attending to work and considerably erodes confidence within the rail community.”

As well as, there may be an unknowable lack of income from passengers who’ve adjusted their existence or discovered various types of transport; companies which have stopped making journeys and are utilizing on-line communication as a substitute; and folks trimming again on journey due to the dearth of certainty.

What in regards to the new minimal service ranges legislation?

Laws now permits the transport secretary to stipulate minimal service ranges (MSLs) on strike days amounting to 40 per cent of the conventional service. The federal government says the Strikes (Minimal Service Ranges) Act 2023 goals “to make sure that the general public can proceed to entry companies that they depend on, throughout strike motion”.

No prepare operator is looking for to impose the brand new legislation on the prepare drivers’ union. LNER mentioned it’d accomplish that earlier this 12 months, and opened consultations. Aslef instantly referred to as a separate five-day strike on LNER alone. Then the prepare operator mentioned it will not require drivers to work, and the strike was referred to as off.

The Transport Choose Committee has beforehand warned of potential unintended penalties of the laws. The Conservative chair, Iain Stewart, mentioned: “There’s a danger of MSLs worsening worker-employer relations and that, because of this, MSLs may find yourself making companies much less dependable.”

The minimal service degree guidelines don’t apply to union bans on non-contractual rest-day working – so there can be no profit in imposing the legislation when an additional time ban is in power.

What’s the Tube dispute about?

Prepare drivers members of Aslef working for the London Underground will stroll out on Monday 8 April and Saturday 4 Could, bringing nearly all the Tube community to a standstill.

Finn Brennan, Aslef’s full-time organiser for the Tube, blamed the employer for eager to impose adjustments to working preparations, saying: “They need drivers to work longer shifts, spending as much as 25 per cent extra time within the cab, and to take away all present working agreements within the identify of ‘flexibility and effectivity’.”

A Transport for London spokesperson mentioned: “We’ve been in long-term discussions with our commerce union colleagues on the right way to modernise procedures and processes on London Underground to enhance the expertise each for workers and clients.

“We’ve no plans to impose these adjustments and have dedicated to nobody dropping their job as a part of these adjustments, and we’ve engaged with our unions to display that no change shall be made that compromises our steadfast dedication to security on the Tube community.

“We urge Aslef to proceed discussions with us in order that disruption for Londoners might be averted.”

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