NEW DELHI: The Reserve Financial institution of India’s rate of interest determination, macroeconomic information and world tendencies will drive traders’ sentiment this week, with markets hoping to proceed the optimistic momentum after ending FY24 on a buoyant observe, analysts mentioned. As well as, the buying and selling exercise of international traders, the rupee-dollar development and the motion of worldwide oil benchmark Brent crude would additionally affect buying and selling in fairness markets.
The 30-share BSE Sensex climbed 14,659.83 factors or 24.85 per cent within the 2023-24. The benchmark hit its all-time excessive of 74,245.17 on March 7.
In 2023-24, the Nifty soared 4,967.15 factors or 28.61 per cent.
“The RBI’s Financial Coverage Committee (MPC) is about to start out its three-day assembly deliberating rates of interest and analysing the state of the economic system on April 3 and can finish on April 5. Auto shares will probably be in focus as corporations will announce the month-to-month gross sales numbers for March ranging from April 1, 2024.
“Moreover, folks will probably be watching how the rupee fares towards the greenback and retaining a tab on crude oil costs. They can even be keeping track of investments made by International Institutional Buyers (FIIs) and Home Institutional Buyers (DIIs),” Pravesh Gour, Senior Technical Analyst at Swastika Investmart Ltd, mentioned.
He added that the US Fed Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech is scheduled for April 3, 2024, and information just like the US ISM manufacturing PMI for March will probably be declared on April 1.
“US non-farm payrolls information and the unemployment price for March will probably be introduced on April 5. These components will probably be carefully monitored, as they’ve the potential to affect markets’ sentiment,” Gour added.
Mirroring bullish traders’ sentiment, the market capitalisation (mcap) of BSE-listed corporations soared by Rs 1,28,77,203.77 crore to Rs 3,86,97,099.77 crore in FY24.
“The outlook for the market will probably be guided by main world and home financial information, India vehicle gross sales, US and India manufacturing Buying Managers’ Index (PMI), US job openings, manufacturing unit orders and US non-farm payrolls, and unemployment price.
“The Reserve Financial institution of India’s financial coverage committee will meet from April 3-5, 2024, and determine on coverage charges. The financial coverage assertion will present necessary cues on the economic system, inflation and rates of interest,” Arvinder Singh Nanda, Senior Vice President at Grasp Capital Providers Ltd, mentioned.
Final week, the BSE benchmark climbed 819.41 factors or 1.12 per cent, and the NSE Nifty superior 230.15 factors or 1.04 per cent.
“We count on volatility to stay excessive this week too, citing the scheduled MPC’s coverage assembly. On the worldwide entrance, members would proceed to take cues from the US markets, that are displaying noticeable resilience,” Ajit Mishra, SVP – Technical Analysis at Religare Broking Ltd, mentioned.



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